Leicester City’s latest Premier League survival chances have been forecasted by Opta and it seems like it’s going to be a big ask to stay up.
Defeat for Leicester at Aston Villa in their last fixture means that the Foxes sit 19th in the Premier League and clearly in a relegation battle.
Last time Opta provided a prediction for how the table would end, Ruud van Nistelrooy was given little chance in keeping Leicester up.
Alan Shearer and Micah Richards think Leicester will go down and it seems that there aren’t many confident that Van Nistelrooy’s side will be playing top flight football next season.
Leicester City relegation prediction forecasted by latest Opta stats
After winning and drawing his first two games in charge of Leicester, Van Nistelrooy has struggled to say the least.
The 2-1 loss at Villa equalled an unwanted 22-year record for Leicester as they lost five games in a row – conceding two or more goals in all of them.
That fifth consecutive defeat appears to have severely dented their survival hopes, as proved by the latest Opta update.
According to the supercomputer, the Foxes have a 76.98% chance of being relegated to the Championship.
| Expected Position | Expected Points | % chances of being relegated |
| 19 | 30.06 | 76.98 |
To make matters worse, they are expected to finish with 30 points, which if is correct, means they would’ve finished four points behind 17th place.
This is also significantly worse than the last prediction, which gave the Foxes a relegation probability of 43%.
- READ MORE: Three things we learned from Aston Villa vs Leicester City as Foxes fall to fifth defeat in a row
How do Leicester City’s relegation chances compare to their rivals?
Leicester may be one of the favourites, but there is still one side more likely to be relegated than them, while those around them aren’t entirely off the hook.
Unsurprisingly, it’s Southampton who are the most likely to be relegated. They have a 99.68% chance of going down and are predicted to end the season with only 14 points.
Ipswich Town, the other promoted side, are the final team expected to go down and in over 10,000 simulations, have been relegated 69.92% of the time.
Wolves have overseen an upturn in form following Vitor Pereira’s appointment and that’s reflected in their position as they are expected to avoid the drop and have a 36.99% chance of going down.
Everton have been relegated 14.51% of the time in the simulation whereas Crystal Palace, West Ham United and Brentford have a 1% or less chance of going down, as per the supercomputer.